Hey Prop Traders, here’s are some valuable tips, terms explained and prop firm news for June 24, 2025

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Prop Trading in a War Market: Risk, Opportunity, Discipline

Everyone’s talking about the war in Iran - But few are talking about what it means for your trading account, your funded evaluation, or your live prop capital.

This isn’t just a geopolitical event. It’s a full-blown market disruptor—and for prop traders, it could mean the difference between hitting payout… or breaching your account before Monday even begins.

Oil is spiking. Rate cuts are vanishing. Stocks are tumbling.
And volatility? It’s back with a vengeance.

Let’s break down what’s happening—and why traders with prop firm accounts need to be especially cautious right now.

The Strait of Hormuz Crisis: Why It’s So Critical

The Strait of Hormuz is only 20 miles wide, but it moves nearly 20% of global oil.
Following U.S. military strikes on Iran, Tehran responded by voting to shut it down for the first time since 1972. If this move is approved, $1 billion per day in oil shipments could be blocked, triggering a global energy shock.

Oil tankers are already fleeing the area. Markets have started reacting—and fast.

This isn’t just about oil hitting $100. We’re talking about a potential move to $120–130, and even $150 or $200 in a drawn-out conflict.

The Inflation Domino Effect (and Why the Fed Is Cornered)

Even though the U.S. sources most of its oil from Canada or domestically, prices here will still rise—because oil is globally priced.

And when oil spikes, inflation follows.

Every $10 increase in oil adds about 0.2% to CPI, according to the Fed.
Oil’s already up $20 since April—+0.4% to inflation—and more is likely coming.

Just a few weeks ago, markets were expecting two or even three rate cuts this year.

Now? They’re likely off the table.

Why This Matters for Prop Traders

If you’re trading with a prop firm, this is the part where you need to lean in.

📉 Sudden Swings = Fast Drawdown

Prop accounts come with tight daily and overall drawdown limits.
When headline risk triggers unexpected moves - especially during low liquidity hours or on weekends - it’s easy to get caught in a trade that moves 20–30 points in seconds.

⚠️ Watch Out for Gaps

This past Sunday open, oil and indices gapped hard after news of the U.S. attack on Iran broke.
Traders who were long or short going into the weekend woke up to open positions blown through stop losses, especially on platforms where weekend price feeds are thin.

Yes - gaps often get filled. But if you're in a prop account, you may not survive the fill.

That’s why trading around geopolitical headlines with funded capital requires next-level discipline.

🧠 Tips for Prop Traders Navigating This Market

• Avoid holding trades over weekends in this kind of environment - gap risk is real.

• Tighten risk. Use smaller lot sizes and be more selective with setups.

• Stick to defined-session trading - volatility is more predictable when major markets are open.

• Favor mean-reversion setups AFTER the initial panic move, not during.

• Stay informed - but don’t chase headlines. Wait for market structure to confirm.

Market Reaction Snapshot

• Stocks are getting hit across the board - especially airlines, retailers, and shipping.

• Crypto and tech are sliding - over $950M in crypto liquidations in just hours.

• The U.S. dollar is gaining on safe-haven demand.

• Gold and Treasuries are climbing as investors flee risk.

For prop traders, this means staying out of crowded risk trades, and instead watching for clean reversals, key levels, and retracements after big swings.

Key Takeaways

This is more than a war. It’s a market-altering event.

• Oil could blow past $100

• Inflation could spike back to 5% or higher

• Rate cuts are off the table

• Stocks and crypto are facing significant downside risk

• And your prop account is exposed to surprise volatility and slippage

This is why funded traders need to respect volatility and protect their capital.

Because the only thing worse than being wrong… is being right after you’ve already breached.

👇 What You Should Do Now

💡 Stay flat during high-risk news windows
📉 Watch for retracement setups after big moves—not during the chaos
📲 Follow trusted sources for alerts and breakdowns

Let the retail crowd chase headlines.
You’re here to trade like a pro.

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